Prognosis of emergencies and their impact on population and territory of Ukraine

Abstract

V.S. Kropyvnytskyi, S.V. Maistro, V.O. Shvedun, S.V. Stankevych

The article presents the original statistical method to determine the possible emergencies and forecast their impact on the population and territory of Ukraine. The proposed mechanisms allow determining the emergencies despite the uncertainty and variability of influential factors and assessing the adequacy and reliability of suggested model. The presented approach could prevent the possible of emergencies and eliminate their negative consequences for the population and territories.

Key words: emergencies; prospective number; uncertainty; reliability; adequacy
 

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